Expert expects up to 1 million votes to be cast, and that ‘would be enough to tilt an election outcome’
By Fred Lucas, The Daily Signal
Noncitizens number in the hundreds of thousands in each of the seven most fiercely contested battleground states expected to decide the Nov. 5 presidential election, and research suggests more than 1 million of them could vote nationally if past voting patterns continue.
Of the seven battleground states, Georgia has the largest number of adult noncitizens at 787,588, according to numbers assembled by the Center for Immigration Studies.
North Carolina follows with 726,079 noncitizens, according to data collected by the U.S. Census Bureau in the first quarter of 2024 and analyzed by CIS at the request of The Daily Signal.
The third highest number of noncitizens in a battleground state is Arizona, with 611,717 ages 18 or older.
The Center for Immigration Studies, a think tank, advocates enforcement of federal border and immigration laws. About 6% of noncitizens vote, CIS says.
Pennsylvania has 516,123 voting-age noncitizens, according to CIS, and Michigan has 271,138. Nevada is next with 258,736 and Wisconsin, with 129,600, has the smallest number of noncitizens among the seven swing states, CIS says.
“In some states even if only a modest portion of noncitizens voted, it could possibly flip the state, as some states are likely to be decided by less than 30,000 votes,” Steven Camarota, director of research at the Center for Immigration Studies, told The Daily Signal. “Of course, that does not mean it has actually happened or will happen.”
“Noncitizens” is an umbrella term that includes both legal but unnaturalized residents as well as illegal immigrants.