‘4 years later, the presidential playing field that is already tilted against them slants even more severely’
By J.T. Young, Real Clear Wire
If Democrats don’t win the presidency in 2028, they may have a long wait. Four years later in 2032, their path to 270 electoral votes gets even steeper and their anti-Trump rhetoric will sound even staler. The next presidential election may not be “now or never” for Democrats, but their future looks much worse without it.
According to the American Redistricting Project’s estimates from the census’s latest 2030 projections, 11 electoral votes and congressional seats will shift as follows: four from California and one each from Oregon, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, New York, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island; four to Texas, two to Florida, and one each to Idaho, Utah, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia.
Based on 2024 presidential election results, these net out to Democratic presidential states losing nine electoral votes and Republican states gaining nine electoral votes from America’s population shifts. While that may not seem much in the quest for the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency, it is for Democrats. To appreciate how difficult this makes Democrats’ math, look at their 2024 results.